Analyst Warns ETH May Face Nokia’s Fate

An analyst has drawn a provocative comparison between Ethereum and Nokia, a once-dominant tech platform that failed to adapt quickly enough to a changing competitive market.

The comparison comes amidst the ongoing Ethereum versus Solana debate. It goes back years and reflects a deeper tension between legacy dominance and next-gen performance. It concerns which platform is better suited to become the backbone of Web3, DeFi, NFTs, and the broader crypto economy.

Analyst Compares Ethereum to Nokia

The analyst warns that, like Nokia, Ethereum could be headed for a slow decline, much like the once-dominant mobile phone maker that Apple overtook in the late 2000s.

“Ethereum = Nokia,” analyst Crypto Curb wrote.

The analyst shared two charts: Nokia’s stock price collapsing from its 2007 peak, and Ethereum’s market cap declining from 2021 highs.

The analogy is rooted in more than just market charts. Curb argues that Ethereum’s aging architecture and scalability limitations mirror the downfall of Nokia’s Symbian OS, which could not compete with Apple’s iOS and Google’s Android.

Data on Statista shows that by 2013, Nokia’s mobile market share had collapsed to 3.1% from a peak of 49.4% in 2007.

Meanwhile, data on TradingView shows that Ethereum, which once commanded over 20% of the total crypto market cap, holds less than 10% as of this writing.

The post implies that Ethereum, like Nokia, may be slowly losing relevance amid faster, more scalable competitors, chief among them Solana.

Meanwhile, Solana’s rise has been hard to ignore. Between October 2023 and November 2024, SOL surged from $23 to $264, growing to nearly one-third of Ethereum’s market capitalization.

According to on-chain data, Solana now outperforms Ethereum on several key metrics. Among them are Daily Active Addresses and Daily Transactions, highlighting its appeal to developers and users.

The parallels are stark. Apple leapfrogged Nokia with a smoother user interface and developer-friendly ecosystem.

Likewise, Solana’s technical advantages, including higher throughput, lower fees, and better user experience (UX), position it as a serious contender to Ethereum’s dominance in decentralized finance (DeFi) and Web3.

However, not everyone is convinced that Ethereum’s days are numbered. A week ago, Ethereum flipped Solana in decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume.

BeInCrypto reported this milestone, which happened for the first time in six months. Data on DefiLlama shows that Ethereum continues to maintain this lead.

This resurgence in trading activity suggests Ethereum remains deeply embedded in the crypto ecosystem, particularly among sophisticated DeFi users.

Moreover, some institutional voices remain cautiously bullish on Ethereum. In March, Franklin Templeton analysts noted that while Solana’s DeFi surge is impressive and could challenge Ethereum’s market value, ETH still holds key infrastructure advantages.

“Solana still has a long way to go before it can surpass Ethereum,” an IntoTheBlock analyst told BeInCrypto.

Similarly, some analysts see the potential for a strong Ethereum price boost, citing bullish fundamentals like the Pectra upgrade and ETH-staking ETFs (exchange-traded funds).

Still, Curb’s comparison reflects a critical moment in Ethereum’s growth. With competitors like Solana racing ahead in usability and performance, Ethereum must accelerate its roadmap lest it becomes overshadowed.

Data shows ETH was trading for $1,552 as of this writing, down by over 4% in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, Solana traded for $116.39, recording a modest 1.01% surge over the day.