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Bitcoin (BTC) Eyes Potential 11% Drop as Bearish Signals Strengthen Bitcoin (BTC) Eyes Potential 11% Drop as Bearish Signals Strengthen

Bitcoin Price Fails To Hold $100,000: What’s Next for Investors?

Bitcoin has experienced significant price swings in the past 24 hours, briefly surpassing the $100,000 mark before retracing. The sudden drop reflects the ongoing market uncertainty, with traders reacting to short-term volatility

However, long-term stability appears to be taking shape, largely supported by mature investors holding onto their positions.  

Bitcoin has Taken A Different Approach

The RHODL (Realized HODL) ratio since Bitcoin’s recent all-time high (ATH) sits at 23%. While new demand remains significant in this cycle, the wealth held in coins older than three months is much lower than in previous cycles. This suggests that new demand inflows have been occurring in bursts rather than in a sustained pattern.  

Unlike previous market cycles, which typically concluded one year after the first ATH break, the current cycle has taken an atypical trajectory. Bitcoin first reached a new ATH in March 2024, yet demand has yet to match the levels seen in past rallies. This deviation raises questions about how the rest of the cycle will unfold. 

RHODL Since ATH. Source: Glassnode

Realized volatility on a three-month rolling window remains below 50% in this cycle. In contrast, past bull runs saw volatility levels exceeding 80% to 100%. This reduction in volatility suggests that Bitcoin’s price action is more structured, with mature investors contributing to a more stable market environment.  

The 2023-25 cycle has followed a stair-stepping pattern, with price rallies followed by consolidation periods. Unlike previous cycles characterized by extreme swings, Bitcoin’s current trajectory exhibits signs of gradual price increases. This trend supports a more controlled bull market, reducing the risk of extreme crashes.  

Bitcoin Realized Volatility
Bitcoin Realized Volatility. Source: Glassnode

BTC Price Prediction: Holding Above A Crucial Support

Although Bitcoin’s long-term outlook remains uncertain due to rising short-term volatility, the immediate forecast suggests vulnerability to correction. The cryptocurrency is trading close to key support levels, and further declines could lead to a deeper retracement.  

If Bitcoin loses the $95,869 support level, it may drop toward $93,625. While BTC holders have refrained from significant profit-taking, further losses could trigger a wave of selling. This scenario would put additional pressure on the price, extending Bitcoin’s correction.  

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, a bounce off $95,869 could enable Bitcoin to reclaim the $100,000 level. Successfully breaching this psychological barrier would invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially setting the stage for a renewed uptrend.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava

https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-price-struggles-what-it-means-for-investors/

2025-02-08 13:30:00

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coinbase-wrapped-btc
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bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 84,164.55 2.23%
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 1,939.26 3.03%
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 1.00 0.01%
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 2.34 1.78%
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 627.59 4.07%
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 128.85 2.27%
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 1.00 0.00%
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.174373 3.28%
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.71969 2.89%
tron
TRON (TRX) $ 0.220531 3.80%
staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 1,935.24 2.92%
wrapped-bitcoin
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 83,852.47 1.87%
pi-network
Pi Network (PI) $ 1.33 5.05%
leo-token
LEO Token (LEO) $ 9.80 2.37%
chainlink
Chainlink (LINK) $ 14.12 5.37%
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 3.47 0.57%
stellar
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.272851 3.02%
usds
USDS (USDS) $ 0.999953 0.01%
wrapped-steth
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 2,321.11 3.08%
hedera-hashgraph
Hedera (HBAR) $ 0.191475 4.24%
avalanche-2
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 18.87 2.88%
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000013 0.71%
sui
Sui (SUI) $ 2.36 5.76%
litecoin
Litecoin (LTC) $ 92.94 2.48%
mantra-dao
MANTRA (OM) $ 7.00 2.86%
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 4.41 1.84%
bitcoin-cash
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 337.84 1.14%
ethena-usde
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 1.00 0.08%
weth
WETH (WETH) $ 1,939.75 2.75%
bitget-token
Bitget Token (BGB) $ 4.45 1.88%
binance-bridged-usdt-bnb-smart-chain
Binance Bridged USDT (BNB Smart Chain) (BSC-USD) $ 1.00 0.06%
hyperliquid
Hyperliquid (HYPE) $ 13.49 3.61%
whitebit
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 28.50 0.68%
wrapped-eeth
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 2,060.38 2.97%
monero
Monero (XMR) $ 211.65 0.37%
uniswap
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susds
sUSDS (SUSDS) $ 1.04 0.10%
aptos
Aptos (APT) $ 5.37 4.14%
dai
Dai (DAI) $ 1.00 0.01%
near
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 2.66 6.05%
pepe
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000007 12.91%
okb
OKB (OKB) $ 51.00 5.34%
internet-computer
Internet Computer (ICP) $ 5.98 7.52%
mantle
Mantle (MNT) $ 0.817822 0.66%
ondo-finance
Ondo (ONDO) $ 0.868017 6.39%
ethereum-classic
Ethereum Classic (ETC) $ 17.99 3.20%
gatechain-token
Gate (GT) $ 22.05 3.67%
tokenize-xchange
Tokenize Xchange (TKX) $ 33.57 12.31%
aave
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coinbase-wrapped-btc
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