BTC Risks Decline to $92K If It Closes Below Crucial Support

Bitcoin’s price has once again failed to break above the $108K resistance level, as the crypto market is correcting going into the new week.

Technical Analysis

By Edris Derakhshi (TradingRage)

The Daily Chart

On the daily chart, it is evident that the asset has once again failed to close above the $108K resistance level after briefly trading above it and creating a new record high last Monday.

Currently, the price is breaking the $100K level to the downside, which could result in a drop lower toward the $92K area in the coming weeks. With the RSI also dropping below 50%, the momentum on the daily chart is bearish and suggests a correction is bound to happen in the short term.

The 4-Hour Chart

As the 4-hour chart demonstrates, the $108K resistance level has rejected the asset decisively, and the market has failed to reach the level since.

Consequently, the cryptocurrency has begun to drop lower today, breaking below the $100K level. Yet, RSI is showing a clear oversold signal at the moment, which indicates a bullish pullback is likely to occur before any continuation lower.

On-Chain Analysis

By Edris Derakhshi (TradingRage)

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap

As the adoption of Bitcoin in the US has grown over the past few years, American investors and their buying or selling behavior have been heavily influencing market dynamics. The Coinbase premium index can offer valuable insight for evaluating US investors’ sentiment.

The metric is calculated based on the difference in the price of Bitcoin between Coinbase’s BTC/USD pair and Binance’s BTC/USDT pair. It is used to determine whether the buying and selling pressure is primarily coming from the US or the rest of the world.

As the chart suggests, this index has been showing negative values since the beginning of 2025. This observation indicates that American investors have been selling Bitcoin aggressively over the past few weeks, which is likely one of the contributing factors resulting in BTC’s failure to rally higher. Therefore, as long as this trend continues, more corrections can be expected.