On-Chain Data Shows Dogecoin At A Crucial Inflection Point

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez (@ali_charts) published a new UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) chart on X that offers a deep look at where large chunks of DOGE have last changed hands. This histogram shows distinct clusters of on-chain activity, pinpointing the most significant price levels that could define the meme coin’s next major move.

Martinez specifically singled out $0.177 as strong support and $0.207 as notable resistance, suggesting that Dogecoin is effectively sandwiched between these two crucial price barriers. While $0.177 and $0.207 stand out for immediate trading decisions, the chart also reveals other conspicuous price levels that warrant closer inspection.

What This Means For Dogecoin Traders

The chart reveals Dogecoin’s largest URPD cluster around $0.177, accounting for roughly 8.01% of DOGE’s total supply (about 11.89 billion tokens). This concentration indicates a high volume of coins last transacted in that range. Because of the large number of DOGE holders with cost bases around $0.177, analysts typically view this level as an important support zone—where buyers could step in to defend their positions.

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Another notable cluster appears at $0.2069, representing about 7.04% of the total supply (approximately 10.45 billion tokens). Martinez labels it as key resistance, reflecting a significant group of holders who acquired DOGE at or near this price. If the market approaches $0.207, some participants might look to break even or lock in small gains, potentially creating selling pressure.

One of the most striking observations is the large spike at $0.06653, where approximately 30 billion tokens were transacted. This by far highest bar dwarfs many of the smaller clusters on the chart, indicating that a massive volume of DOGE supply shifted at that price in the past.

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Even though the market is currently well above $0.06653, this level could be significant if prices were ever to correct sharply. It represents a substantial cost basis for a large portion of holders, potentially turning it into a powerful area of support if Dogecoin experiences a deeper downside move below $0.177.

On the upside, the histogram highlights two major concentrations above current prices. Around $0.2753, slightly below 5 billion tokens were transacted, and at $0.3622, slightly above 5 billion tokens exchanged hands. These tall bars may act as key resistance hurdles if Dogecoin can break above the shorter-term ceiling at $0.207.

Once DOGE sustains gains beyond $0.207, buyers might look for momentum to carry the token toward $0.2753, where fresh resistance could appear. If bullish sentiment remains robust, the region around $0.3622 might become the next important level to watch.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.196.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com